Which day looks best for the fells over the next two weeks?
A two-week walking outlook for the Lake District fells, scored the same way as our
live Conditions page (which covers today and tomorrow in high-resolution detail) —
clear summits, wind, rain and visibility — so you can answer the planning question: I can go some weekend
in the next couple of weeks; which looks best?This is modelled guidance, and accuracy falls off the
further ahead you look — always check
MWIS (opens in new tab)
and the Met Office mountain forecast (opens in new tab)
before you set off.
Loading the latest outlook… If this line does not change, the dated snapshot further down this page is what we have.
Best for your dates. Tell us when you can go and for how long, and we rank the runs of days that suit, for the region you choose. The line above is the best two days anywhere in the Park; this is the best window you can actually take.
How sure is the forecast?
A forecast is one run of a weather model. Here are fifty. Where they land together you can plan on it; where they scatter, the weather has not made its mind up and no forecast can tell you more yet. Six areas, fifteen days, rain first.
Run: Thursday 10 September 2026, 12:00 UTC · GEFS run 10 Sep 12:00Z, 31 members. Read at 22:46 UTC.
10–90% of the 50 runsMedian runGEFS median (31 members)all drysplitall wet
North
Keswick, Skiddaw, Blencathra
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for 3 days, then split from Mon 14.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 136 of 50all wet
Mon 1430 of 50split
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 1623 of 50split
Thu 174 of 50all wet
Fri 1819 of 50split
Sat 1913 of 50most wet
Sun 2020 of 50split
Mon 2120 of 50split
Tue 2222 of 50split
Wed 2321 of 50split
Thu 2420 of 50split
Fri 2518 of 50split
13°12–1318km/h
11°10–1111km/h
14°12–1513km/h
13°11–148km/h
13°12–1523km/h
11°10–1219km/h
12°11–1327km/h
10°8–1317km/h
11°8–1416km/h
10°8–1213km/h
11°8–1415km/h
11°8–1514km/h
10°8–1414km/h
10°7–1412km/h
10°7–1413km/h
North-west
Buttermere, Grasmoor, Loweswater
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for 3 days, then split from Mon 14.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 136 of 50all wet
Mon 1423 of 50split
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 1618 of 50split
Thu 172 of 50all wet
Fri 1819 of 50split
Sat 1912 of 50most wet
Sun 2020 of 50split
Mon 2117 of 50most wet
Tue 2219 of 50split
Wed 2319 of 50split
Thu 2421 of 50split
Fri 2516 of 50most wet
13°13–1418km/h
12°12–1217km/h
14°12–1512km/h
14°12–1514km/h
14°13–1625km/h
12°10–1319km/h
13°12–1431km/h
11°9–1417km/h
12°10–1524km/h
11°9–1316km/h
12°9–1518km/h
11°9–1515km/h
11°8–1516km/h
11°8–1415km/h
11°8–1515km/h
Central
Ambleside, Grasmere, Helvellyn
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for the whole fortnight.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 130 of 50all wet
Mon 146 of 50all wet
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 164 of 50all wet
Thu 171 of 50all wet
Fri 185 of 50all wet
Sat 1911 of 50most wet
Sun 2013 of 50most wet
Mon 2110 of 50most wet
Tue 2217 of 50most wet
Wed 2313 of 50most wet
Thu 2414 of 50most wet
Fri 2514 of 50most wet
12°11–1215km/h
9°9–1011km/h
13°11–148km/h
12°10–138km/h
12°11–1418km/h
10°8–1015km/h
11°10–1223km/h
9°7–1212km/h
10°8–1215km/h
9°8–1210km/h
9°7–1312km/h
9°7–139km/h
9°7–1312km/h
8°6–1310km/h
9°6–1310km/h
East
Ullswater, High Street, Kentmere
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for 5 days, then split from Wed 16.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 134 of 50all wet
Mon 1412 of 50most wet
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 1622 of 50split
Thu 174 of 50all wet
Fri 1813 of 50most wet
Sat 1911 of 50most wet
Sun 2015 of 50most wet
Mon 2113 of 50most wet
Tue 2223 of 50split
Wed 2319 of 50split
Thu 2420 of 50split
Fri 2520 of 50split
12°12–1314km/h
10°9–1011km/h
14°11–158km/h
12°10–149km/h
12°12–1516km/h
10°8–1113km/h
12°11–1222km/h
9°8–1312km/h
10°8–1317km/h
9°8–1210km/h
10°8–1414km/h
10°7–149km/h
9°7–1311km/h
9°6–149km/h
10°6–1411km/h
South-west
Wasdale, Scafell, Eskdale
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for the whole fortnight.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 130 of 50all wet
Mon 144 of 50all wet
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 160 of 50all wet
Thu 170 of 50all wet
Fri 183 of 50all wet
Sat 198 of 50most wet
Sun 2011 of 50most wet
Mon 2111 of 50most wet
Tue 2214 of 50most wet
Wed 2313 of 50most wet
Thu 2412 of 50most wet
Fri 2512 of 50most wet
12°11–1216km/h
10°10–1116km/h
13°11–1411km/h
12°10–1312km/h
12°11–1421km/h
10°9–1117km/h
11°11–1225km/h
9°8–1215km/h
10°8–1319km/h
9°8–1212km/h
10°8–1315km/h
10°7–1413km/h
10°7–1415km/h
9°7–1313km/h
10°7–1314km/h
South
Coniston, Windermere, Duddon
Rain each day, mm, across the fifty runs
The runs agree for 5 days, then split from Wed 16.
Fri 110 of 50all wet
Sat 120 of 50all wet
Sun 133 of 50all wet
Mon 149 of 50most wet
Tue 150 of 50all wet
Wed 1619 of 50split
Thu 175 of 50all wet
Fri 1813 of 50most wet
Sat 1910 of 50most wet
Sun 2013 of 50most wet
Mon 2111 of 50most wet
Tue 2219 of 50split
Wed 2320 of 50split
Thu 2419 of 50split
Fri 2514 of 50most wet
14°13–1415km/h
12°12–1310km/h
15°13–1610km/h
14°12–155km/h
14°13–1617km/h
12°11–1313km/h
14°13–1424km/h
11°10–1413km/h
12°9–1516km/h
11°10–1410km/h
12°10–1613km/h
12°8–169km/h
12°8–1510km/h
11°8–1510km/h
12°8–1510km/h
How to read this
Nobody knows the exact state of the atmosphere at any moment, so the forecasters at ECMWF run their model fifty times, each time nudging the starting weather a little. Every one of those runs is a fair guess. When all fifty put rain on Tuesday, it is going to rain on Tuesday. When twenty say dry and thirty say wet, that is not the model being vague; it is the weather genuinely not settled yet, and any forecast that sounds sure about that day is guessing.
The grey band on each chart is where most of the runs sit for that day. The line through it is the middle run. The boxes underneath count how many of the fifty stayed dry, which is the number I actually look at when I have one free Saturday.
One square of this model covers a valley and the fells around it, roughly 28 km by 16 km, so it tells you how settled the weather is over an area, not what one summit will do. The fell-by-fell snapshot and the regional outlook stay as they are. This sits beside them and says how far to trust them.
Contains modified ECMWF open data (CC BY 4.0) and NOAA GEFS data. Sources and licences.
The season ahead
The fifty runs again, but stretched: six weeks ahead from ECMWF’s extended ensemble and seven months from its seasonal system. Not a forecast of any day. What it can say is whether the runs lean milder or colder, wetter or drier, than the normal for these fells, and how many of them agree. Seasonal skill in north-west England is modest; what the system does reasonably in winter is the Atlantic’s mood, mild-and-wet against cold-and-clear, and that is the question this answers.
Read at 08:20 UTC, 8 September 2026. The six-week read refreshes every night, the months on the 5th. The six-week read is more than three days old and is not shown.
North
Keswick, Skiddaw, Blencathra
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 2 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 6 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 3 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 5 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan 2027
Feb
Mar
Warmer than normalruns of 50
38 of 50most
35 of 50most
32 of 50split
28 of 50split
31 of 50split
28 of 50split
33 of 50most
Wetter than normalruns of 50
34 of 50most
16 of 50few
27 of 50split
32 of 50split
23 of 50split
19 of 50split
25 of 50split
Windmodel’s own average
+1 km/hwindier
-1 km/hcalmer
≈about usual
≈about usual
≈about usual
-1 km/hcalmer
≈about usual
Sunshinemodel’s own average
-17 MJ/m²duller
+6 MJ/m²brighter
≈about usual
≈about usual
-2 MJ/m²duller
≈about usual
-5 MJ/m²duller
Groundtopsoil, model’s own average
+0.025wetter ground
-0.010drier ground
≈about usual
≈about usual
≈about usual
≈about usual
≈about usual
Snowmodel’s cell, its own average
≈about usual
≈about usual
-0.6 cmless snow
-0.5 cmless snow
+0.2 cmmore snow
-1.8 cmless snow
-1.5 cmless snow
Ground wetter than the model’s usual in Sep: the tops here that are boggy in an ordinary winter go under first, Broom Fell, Lord's Seat, Robinson, Graystones, Ling Fell, Barrow and 3 more rated often boggy. Drier in Oct, when those same tops are worth having.
Central
Ambleside, Grasmere, Helvellyn
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 3 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 5 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 4 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 6 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
Wasdale, Scafell, Eskdale · the same 36 km cell as Central at this resolution
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 3 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 5 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
Coniston, Windermere, Duddon · the same 36 km cell as Central at this resolution
The coming months ECMWF seasonal system, 50 runs, refreshed on the 5th
Milder than normal in 3 of the 7 months, the rest split; wetter in 1 month and drier in 1, the rest split. Snow: less than the model’s usual for its cell in 5 months, which reads as fewer white days on the tops.
Everything here is measured against the model’s own average for that cell, the years it was trained on. “43 of 50” means forty-three of the fifty runs put that week warmer than the model’s usual September week there; a split row means the runs have not made their minds up, which seven weeks out is the honest state most of the time. The rows below the counts, wind, sunshine, ground and snow, are the same lean as one signed figure. What a normal month looks like on these fells in real years is the climatology further down this page.
One cell is a valley and the fells around it, 36 km across and lower than the tops. A snow row appears only when a week or a month carries a snow lean; when there is none on the horizon there is no row, and that absence is the reading.
Seasonal outlook: ECMWF EC46 and SEAS5 through Open-Meteo, not bias-corrected, an area forecast on a 36 km grid that sits lower than the tops; leans and run counts are against the model's own climatology for the cell. Sources and licences.
The Regional Outlook
Loading the outlook…
Bars pale and take on a hatch further ahead — that is the forecast getting less
certain, not a different verdict. Colours are colour-blind-safe: Save it is grey, not red.
Snapshot taken 11 September 2026, 08:03 UTC. The live outlook loads over this when the page opens; if you are reading this, you are seeing the snapshot.
Eastern Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Eastern Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
34 mph
7°C
5% (0.5 mm)
poor
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
56 mph
12°C
97% (18.5 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
14 mph
12°C
11% (0 mm)
11 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
38 mph
13°C
74% (0.9 mm)
6 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
45 mph
6°C
83% (1.3 mm)
6 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
41 mph
6°C
61% (2.3 mm)
6 km
Thu 17 Sep
Save it
52 mph
4°C
88% (4.0 mm)
5 km
Fri 18 Sep
Save it
51 mph
4°C
30% (6.2 mm)
3 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
48 mph
4°C
66% (5.2 mm)
5 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
45 mph
5°C
47% (0 mm)
27 km
Mon 21 Sep
Save it
39 mph
10°C
49% (4.8 mm)
1 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
5°C
43% (2.8 mm)
1 km
Wed 23 Sep
Marginal
46 mph
2°C
49% (0.6 mm)
20 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
45 mph
1°C
42% (0 mm)
41 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
13 mph
5°C
31% (0 mm)
24 km
Far Eastern Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Far Eastern Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
28 mph
10°C
1% (0.5 mm)
3 km
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
54 mph
12°C
92% (16.3 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
12 mph
13°C
11% (0 mm)
6 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
38 mph
13°C
61% (2.0 mm)
4 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
41 mph
10°C
57% (0.8 mm)
16 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
40 mph
6°C
29% (2.1 mm)
5 km
Thu 17 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
5°C
74% (2.8 mm)
7 km
Fri 18 Sep
Marginal
42 mph
5°C
19% (4.0 mm)
5 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
39 mph
5°C
54% (5.4 mm)
5 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
42 mph
6°C
33% (0 mm)
32 km
Mon 21 Sep
Marginal
38 mph
11°C
37% (1.8 mm)
4 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
38 mph
7°C
36% (1.8 mm)
6 km
Wed 23 Sep
Cracking
41 mph
3°C
42% (0 mm)
33 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
43 mph
1°C
28% (0 mm)
40 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
10 mph
6°C
24% (0 mm)
40 km
Central Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Central Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
27 mph
11°C
5% (0.6 mm)
9 km
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
47 mph
13°C
97% (23.3 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
16 mph
14°C
11% (0.1 mm)
4 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
31 mph
14°C
74% (3.7 mm)
3 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
10°C
83% (1.8 mm)
8 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
39 mph
10°C
61% (4.3 mm)
4 km
Thu 17 Sep
Marginal
47 mph
6°C
88% (5.8 mm)
5 km
Fri 18 Sep
Save it
47 mph
5°C
30% (6.2 mm)
3 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
5°C
66% (5.2 mm)
5 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
41 mph
6°C
47% (0 mm)
27 km
Mon 21 Sep
Marginal
36 mph
11°C
49% (4.8 mm)
1 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
39 mph
7°C
43% (2.8 mm)
1 km
Wed 23 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
4°C
49% (0.6 mm)
20 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
42 mph
2°C
42% (0 mm)
41 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
12 mph
6°C
31% (0 mm)
24 km
Southern Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Southern Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
37 mph
7°C
61% (1.5 mm)
poor
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
59 mph
12°C
97% (46.9 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
18 mph
13°C
19% (0.1 mm)
7 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
35 mph
13°C
77% (3.7 mm)
3 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
47 mph
5°C
90% (1.8 mm)
8 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
5°C
78% (4.3 mm)
4 km
Thu 17 Sep
Save it
51 mph
4°C
95% (8.0 mm)
6 km
Fri 18 Sep
Save it
53 mph
4°C
43% (5.4 mm)
4 km
Sat 19 Sep
Save it
50 mph
4°C
69% (5.0 mm)
5 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
45 mph
5°C
56% (0.2 mm)
26 km
Mon 21 Sep
Save it
38 mph
10°C
57% (10.2 mm)
poor
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
5°C
51% (4.8 mm)
3 km
Wed 23 Sep
Marginal
47 mph
2°C
54% (0.6 mm)
16 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
44 mph
1°C
51% (0 mm)
40 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
15 mph
4°C
36% (0 mm)
28 km
Northern Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Northern Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
37 mph
7°C
14% (1.5 mm)
poor
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
51 mph
13°C
87% (16.2 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
15 mph
13°C
10% (0.1 mm)
6 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
38 mph
14°C
35% (0.9 mm)
5 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
6°C
55% (2.6 mm)
8 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
42 mph
6°C
31% (3.4 mm)
4 km
Thu 17 Sep
Save it
51 mph
5°C
68% (6.7 mm)
5 km
Fri 18 Sep
Save it
53 mph
4°C
13% (2.6 mm)
8 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
49 mph
4°C
55% (3.6 mm)
5 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
44 mph
5°C
27% (0 mm)
21 km
Mon 21 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
12°C
26% (2.4 mm)
4 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
45 mph
6°C
34% (2.4 mm)
3 km
Wed 23 Sep
Cracking
47 mph
3°C
40% (0 mm)
26 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
41 mph
1°C
25% (0 mm)
40 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
12 mph
5°C
24% (0 mm)
25 km
North Western Fells
Daily walking outlook for the North Western Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Marginal
37 mph
10°C
61% (1.7 mm)
poor
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
55 mph
13°C
97% (21.5 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
17 mph
13°C
19% (0.2 mm)
6 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
34 mph
14°C
77% (3.7 mm)
4 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
6°C
90% (3.8 mm)
5 km
Wed 16 Sep
Marginal
43 mph
6°C
78% (6.0 mm)
4 km
Thu 17 Sep
Save it
51 mph
5°C
95% (9.2 mm)
4 km
Fri 18 Sep
Save it
50 mph
5°C
43% (5.6 mm)
4 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
48 mph
5°C
69% (7.4 mm)
4 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
41 mph
6°C
56% (0.2 mm)
18 km
Mon 21 Sep
Save it
40 mph
11°C
57% (6.6 mm)
1 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
6°C
51% (5.6 mm)
poor
Wed 23 Sep
Cracking
47 mph
3°C
55% (0 mm)
16 km
Thu 24 Sep
Decent
42 mph
2°C
51% (0 mm)
36 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
15 mph
6°C
36% (0 mm)
21 km
Western Fells
Daily walking outlook for the Western Fells
Day
Verdict
Wind
Feels like
Rain
Visibility
Fri 11 Sep
Decent
27 mph
10°C
61% (1.0 mm)
3 km
Sat 12 Sep
Save it
53 mph
13°C
97% (29.2 mm)
poor
Sun 13 Sep
Cracking
17 mph
13°C
19% (0.2 mm)
14 km
Mon 14 Sep
Marginal
35 mph
13°C
77% (6.9 mm)
3 km
Tue 15 Sep
Marginal
46 mph
6°C
90% (3.7 mm)
3 km
Wed 16 Sep
Save it
45 mph
6°C
78% (9.0 mm)
3 km
Thu 17 Sep
Marginal
47 mph
5°C
95% (8.9 mm)
5 km
Fri 18 Sep
Marginal
48 mph
4°C
43% (4.8 mm)
4 km
Sat 19 Sep
Marginal
44 mph
5°C
69% (6.2 mm)
3 km
Sun 20 Sep
Decent
38 mph
5°C
56% (0.2 mm)
28 km
Mon 21 Sep
Marginal
36 mph
11°C
57% (8.4 mm)
9 km
Tue 22 Sep
Marginal
40 mph
6°C
51% (5.8 mm)
2 km
Wed 23 Sep
Cracking
44 mph
3°C
55% (0 mm)
14 km
Thu 24 Sep
Cracking
41 mph
1°C
51% (0 mm)
40 km
Fri 25 Sep
Cracking
13 mph
5°C
36% (0 mm)
18 km
Scoring model: the same as Conditions (best_match). Forecasts move — check the live panel above, and the Met Office mountain forecast, before you set off.
What’s the Lake District weather actually like?
The short answer: wetter and windier than most of England, and quick to change. The central fells sit squarely in the path of Atlantic weather systems, and Seathwaite in Borrowdale is regularly cited as the wettest inhabited place in England, with well over 3,000 mm of rain a year. But “it always rains in the Lakes” is a myth — the eastern and far-eastern fells around Ullswater and Haweswater are noticeably drier than the western ones, and long settled spells do happen, especially in spring and early autumn.
Roughly, by season:late spring (May–June) and September are often the driest, clearest and most settled — the sweet spot for the fells, with long daylight and fewer midges. High summer (July–August) is warm and busy but can be humid and hazy, with afternoon showers. Autumn and winter bring the heaviest rain and strongest wind, short days, and snow and ice on the tops from roughly November to April — genuine winter conditions that need the right kit and experience.
How to read a mountain weather forecast
A valley forecast and a mountain forecast can be worlds apart. On the summits it’s colder (very roughly 6–10°C cooler than the valley), far windier, and often in cloud when the dale below is clear. Before any big walk, check a proper mountain forecast, not just the town one:
Lake District Weatherline (opens in new tab) — a Lakes fell forecast plus the winter Fell Top Assessor report, walked and measured daily from the summit of Helvellyn — the closest thing to a boots-on report of what the tops are really doing.
Read wind as summit gusts (around 40 mph on the tops makes ridges hard work; 60 mph is dangerous), watch the freezing level in winter (below summit height means snow and ice underfoot), and treat the cloud base as your likely view — if it’s sitting at 600 m, the high tops will be in cloud. Then use the outlook above to pick your day, and our live conditions for today and tomorrow.
Common planning questions
Which day is best to walk in the Lake District this week?
Use the outlook above: pick a green (Cracking) or blue (Decent) day in your chosen region, then confirm with the Met Office mountain forecast and MWIS before you go.
How far ahead can I reliably plan?
The first few days are the most trustworthy; treat days 7–16 as a steer for choosing a likely weekend rather than a firm forecast, and re-check nearer the time.
What do the verdicts mean?
Each day is scored 0–100 and banded Cracking, Decent, Marginal or Save it — the same method as the Conditions page. Colours are colour-blind-safe (Save it is grey, not red).
Does it always rain in the Lake District?
No — though it’s one of the wettest parts of England. The western fells and Borrowdale (home to Seathwaite, often called England’s wettest inhabited place) get far more rain than the drier eastern fells around Ullswater and Haweswater, and settled dry spells are common in late spring and early autumn.
When is the best time to visit the Lake District for good weather?
Late spring (May and June) and September tend to be the driest, clearest and most settled for the fells, with long daylight and fewer midges than high summer. July and August are warmest but busiest and can be hazy; late autumn and winter bring the heaviest rain, and snow and ice to the tops.